• Recent Posts

  • Recent Comments

    Ralph Propper on Don’t Blame 2020. Blame…
    Judah Rosen on If America falls, Will Israel…
    marymtf on Why Most Jews Vote Biden
    leelonghwa on Why Most Jews Vote Biden
    Alla Gamarnik on Why Most Jews Vote Biden
  • Top Posts

  • Search by Category

  • Archives

  • Pages

  • Twitter

  • Meta

If America falls, Will Israel Follow?

pixabay

“The republic was saved!” So declared Nancy Pelosi, following Biden’s elections’ win. “Welcome back America!” So screamed, with variations, the headlines in Europe. “Long Live Democracy!” Such was the general cry of jubilation among democrats and liberals here and abroad. And yet the assault on the truth by President Trump and his cohorts continues. His refusal to accept the results of the elections, and to accept its consequences, continue unabated. Supported and aided by almost a universal acquiesce and silence from the Republicans in Congress. In short, the battle is yet to be won, it is raging on, with a long winter looming ahead.

While yours truly was indeed jubilant after Biden’s win, he was quicker than most to declare Trump’s actions and inactions, following the elections, a coup d’état. Or, as it actually should be called, a self-coup (since he’s still in power). Other observers, more astute and knowledgeable, followed through with similar assumptions. However, most of these observers and journalists consider Trump just a con man, incapable of executing something more sinister. They believe our institutions, the constitution, and the Army will save us. Inauguration Day will come January 20th and Biden and Harris will be sworn in as new President and Vice President.

Amen to that. Probably so. However, it is clear to me that despite all these voices to the contrary—among them from Trump’s supposed friends and close advisors, insisting that ultimately when the time comes he would leave the White House peacefully—I have strong doubts about that. This scenario doesn’t seem plausible to me. Actually, I see a different scenario in which—yes, very unlikely—he won’t leave the Presidency at all. He is incapable of it, and unable to admitting defeat. He would rather foment his fervent supporters, white extremists all, among whom more than 70% believe—without any supporting evidence—that the election was stolen from him. Fighting in the streets, where his supporters have a clear advantage in arms and ammunition—and in willingness to kill—is not far off. What next: a civil war?

Just saying. Not predicting. But you see, many observers repeat their trust in the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, General Mark A. Milley, who declared before the election that the army will stay out of it. It will leave the matter to our political system and politicians. How appropriate. Most observers see that as proof that Trump does not have the army in his corner, and that without the army he cannot succeed in his self-coup. However, Biden and the Democrats also don’t have the army in their corner. And if the army stays neutral, or controlled by the ‘gang’ Trump had installed there at the head of the Department of Defense, of which he is still the Commander-in-Chief, who then will kick the bully out of the White House?

Here’s something you may not know. There is nothing in America’s constitution, or in its history, regarding a situation where a president is refusing to leave the office. Nothing. Point blank. The framers, giving thought and endless talks to every possibility and detail, didn’t realize such a nutcase, such a scenario may one day come to be. So now, if he refuses to leave, what then? If he continues to be regarded as the legitimate president by most of his 70 million voters—who plan a big demonstration in D.C. ahead of the electoral college rollcall—what then? The armed masses in the street will march on, causing havoc. The senate also might continue its silence. And the army will continue its neutrality. What then?…

Complete chaos. Biden had said before the elections, when this possibility was brought up to him, that we have a way of dealing with trespassers. What a nice soundbite. But who will execute the eviction? Under what authority? Trump will be the one still in control of all the buttons. Of all his cronies and criminals he’s put in a position of power, from Attorney General William Barr to Acting Secretary of Defense Christopher Miller. I dread breaking it to you, but this is a highly likely scenario. It will be the end of the republic, and democracy.

Okay, I hear you: I’m blowing things out of all proportions. Got it. But even so, think what would’ve happened had the elections were just a little bit closer. Closer overall, and closer in the battleground states. What then?
While I leave you to contemplate this, I turn my attention to Israel. Over there, the situation is, indeed, not so dire. There is a functioning government (about to collapse?) in place, a Prime Minister in charge—for how many years, oh boy, I can’t remember—and the rule of law, shaky here and there, still apply. The Knesset still functions somehow. However, what looms ahead in Israel, and very soon, is the start of Netanyahu’s trial (delayed to February, as Netanyahu is using Trump’s tactics of delay and dismiss) on charges of fraud, breach of trust and bribery, and the future possibility of his culpability in the ‘Submarine Affair’ being thrown into the mix as well.

Now imagine, why don’t you, a Prime Minister in office, the strongest politician in the land, being escort by police into court daily. What the political situation will look like then? How his rightwing supporters in the streets will react? I mean, if Trump is in power here as a dictator (just imagine), nothing will stop Netanyahu from canceling his trial altogether, and by any means possible. At the very least, he will subvert the rule of law to his political power, and in the process might do away with democracy altogether. Just as the thousands upon thousands keep demonstrating in the streets for the last few months are claiming.

Furthermore: Assuming the rule of law holds steady, and the Knesset and Government are still functioning democratically. If the trial ends in Netanyahu’s conviction—as I have no doubt it would, at least in part—who will then take him to jail? Or remove him from power? His people—’La Familia’s’ hooligans—will be in the street, armed too. Or he’d call new elections, which he no doubt might still win, thereafter overruling the courts’ judgments and legitimacy. And that’s that, my friends. The collapse of democracy in Israel as well.

Just a nightmare? A prescient vision? You’ll be the judge; you and the days ahead.

* The ‘Leave a Comment’ link is the last tag below, in blue.

What’s Really Behind Israel-UAE- “Peace Deal”


As I write this, the euphoric dust continues to hang low over Israel and America, following the announcement of the normalization agreement between Israel and the UAE. The superlatives (thrown about to distort the truth) were so overwhelming that even a veteran observer such as yours truly found it difficult to clear the fog of falsehood. Of course, none was bigger in this regard than President Trump’s tweet: “HUGE breakthrough today! Historic Peace Agreement between our two GREAT friends, Israel and the United Arab Emirates!”

Caught in the jubilation were—except the Palestinians, for obvious reasons—not only the major players themselves, but the media here and in Israel, including long time, astute observers of Trump, Netanyahu, and the Middle East. Who, feeling the urge to join in this intoxicated international Hora dance, lost momentarily their usually analytical observation power. And so I aim, in my limited capacity – though as always dedicated to the truth – to clear some of this stardust for your benefit. But before I do that, some important—indeed promising—developments of this deal (yet to be ironed out,) must be highlighted and commended.

This development is welcomed and, if successful, opens a wealth of opportunities for Israel, the UAE, and the entire Middle East. Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, crown prince of Abu Dhabi and the Emirati leader who brokered the deal, described it in a tweet (second to Trump, of course) this way: “During a call with President Trump and Prime Minister Netanyahu, an agreement was reached to stop further Israeli annexation of Palestinian territories. The UAE and Israel also agreed to cooperation and setting a roadmap toward establishing a bilateral relationship.”

Unlike Trump’s bombastic tweet, this one is rather clear and informative. It states first that the raison d’etre for the deal is to stop Netanyahu’s planned annexation, promised to his voters in the last election. Only secondly comes the promise of “cooperation and setting a roadmap toward establishing a bilateral relationship.” It’s worth pointing out here that Netanyahu, in his major speech to the nation, not only minimized the annexation issue and insisted it’s only a “temporary suspension,” but like Mr. Trump declared it a “done deal,” rather than a work in progress. Furthermore, it’s important to state here that Israel and the UAE have been engaged in economic, scientific, and intelligence cooperation for quite some years, indeed under the radar. In that sense, bringing it to light is also an important achievement.

I should acknowledge also that this ‘new deal’ opens the possibilities of similar such agreements in the near future with other Middle East countries, especially other oil-rich sheikhdoms such as Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, and Oman, small countries that share also a common enemy: Iran. Which is another factor in this equation, and a rather important one to Israel and America. It creates a buffer zone for the Iranian aspirations and adds the most powerful army in the Middle East—i.e. Israel’s IDF—permission to defend and possibly attack Iran. Of course, with the backing of America. What’s wrong with all that, you ask?

Let me tell you. First, this is not a peace deal. Nothing of the sort. A peace deal is an agreement made between enemies, most often after a long, protracted war. Israel and the UAE were never at war with each other. Not even close. Growing up in Israel, and serving in the IDF both in compulsory and reserve duties for many years, no one ever mentioned that sheikdom, let alone even knowing where it is. (Confession: I had to look at the map just to make sure.) Yes, it’s part of the larger Arab League, and as such it’s also a signatory to its peace proposal of 2002, which it now has betrayed, according to not just the Palestinians, but Saudi Arabia as well.

This is not a peace deal; rather, it’s a normalization agreement. Which brings me to my second point: Annexation. On the face of it, what a great deal. It stopped (or suspended) Israel’s annexation of a large part of the West Bank. Now, I ask you, if this is such a great deal, why the Palestinians are not happy about it? They should be celebrating in the streets, right? But no, they know better. And what they know is that, first, the threat of annexation is not gone. Second, they know that annexation de facto is still in progress, acre after acre, kilometer after kilometer, hill after hill. For them, the need for a united Arab League to stick with the 2002 peace plan, which Israel has done its best to disregard, is much more important.

Regarding this crucial element of the agreement, I’ll say one more thing: It’s mostly thanks to Benny Gantz and his Blue and White Party, on the receiving end of so much ridicule in Israel—but not from me, as I laid out in a previous post — The Lesser of Two Evils, from April 26 — because they joined the coalition with Netanyahu. But he and his party were the ones to actually prevent Netanyahu from going ahead with it on July 1st. They refused, unless America supports it, and unless it’s part of the overall ‘peace deal’ the Trump administration has suggested with the Palestinians. In a way, they are the ones who prevented it—if it’s indeed prevented—and not the agreement with UAE.

Lastly, I believe the real reason beyond this deal is Netanyahu and Trump’s way of escaping jail. Wait, let me explain. While the said deal is important on some levels (as pointed out above), it’s the political gains that the two of them are seeking, to ensure they stay in power and avoid prosecution. In Netanyahu’s case, his court proceeding will kick into high gear next January, where and when he’ll have to appear in court to defend himself three times a week. Imagine that. He cannot stop these proceedings, as they are underway already. His only chance to stay out of jail is to remain in power and to bend the rule of law—Belarus, Russia, China—his way. Had Trump not being president currently, he’d probably be in jail by now, that’s my belief. And should he lose the coming election—he better!—the democrats, justice, and law forces will go after him like a ‘huge’ fireball. His only salvation is to stay in power. Hence this deal.

Lastly: Comparing these so-called “Abraham Accords” to Israel’s peace treaty with its sworn enemy Egypt in 1979, and to the peace treaty with Jordan in 1994; comparing the major players of this deal to Sadat, Begin, Hussain, and Rabin is at best misleading, and at worst an outright lie. So befitting this marriage-of-convenience of Netanyahu and Trump.

* The ‘Leave a Comment’ link is the last tag below, in blue.

%d bloggers like this: